<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.3 20210610//EN" "JATS-journalpublishing1-3.dtd">
<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">agroprob</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Проблемы агрорынка</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Problems of AgriMarket</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1817-728X</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2708-9991</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Казахский научно-исследовательский институт экономики агропромышленного комплекса и развития села</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.46666/2026-2.2708-9991.11</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">agroprob-2617</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Рынок продовольственной продукции</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>Food products market</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Зерновые резервы Республики Казахстан: закономерности формирования и использования</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Grain reserves of the Republic of Kazakhstan: patterns of formation and utilization</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Бактгереева</surname><given-names>А. Т.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Baktgereyeva</surname><given-names>A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Бактгереева Алма Тагановна - основной автор; кандидат экономических наук; ассистент профессора кафедры «Экономика и менеджмент»</p><p>050012 ул. Толе би, 100, г.Алматы</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Baktgereyeva Alma - The main author; Candidate of Economic Sciences; Assistant Professor of the Department of Economics and Management</p><p>050012 Tole bi str., 100, Almaty</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2676-6608</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Момынкулова</surname><given-names>С. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Momynkulova</surname><given-names>S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Момынкулова Сауле Мадиярбековна; докторант Ph.D кафедры «Экономика и менеджмент»</p><p>050012 ул. Толе би, 100, г.Алматы</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Momynkulova Saule; Ph.D student of the Department of Economics and Management</p><p>050012 Tole bi str., 100, Almaty</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">sulyamadi@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2964-3320</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Medeni</surname><given-names>T. D.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Medeni</surname><given-names>T.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Medeni Tunç Durmuş; Ph.D, профессор, профессор кафедры «Управление информационными системами»</p><p>06010 пр.Жиннах, 16, г.Анкара</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Medeni Tunç; Ph.D, Professor; Professor of the Department of Information Systems Management</p><p>06010 Jinnah Ave., 16, Ankara</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">tuncmedeni@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Алматинский технологический университет</institution><country>Казахстан</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Almaty Technological University</institution><country>Kazakhstan</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Университет Анкары им. Йылдырым Бейязита</institution><country>Турция</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Ankara Yildirim Biyazit University</institution><country>Turkey</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2026</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>24</day><month>07</month><year>2026</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>2</issue><fpage>131</fpage><lpage>141</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Бактгереева А.Т., Момынкулова С.М., Medeni T.D., 2026</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2026</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Бактгереева А.Т., Момынкулова С.М., Medeni T.D.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Baktgereyeva A., Momynkulova S., Medeni T.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.jpra-kazniiapk.kz/jour/article/view/2617">https://www.jpra-kazniiapk.kz/jour/article/view/2617</self-uri><abstract><p>Республика Казахстан, располагая природными и другими потенциальными возможностями, формирует статус крупного производителя зерна, отличающегося высокими пищевыми и кормовыми свойствами, сохранением качества, что способствует созданию страховых и резервных фондов, служит сырьевой базой для перерабатывающей промышленности и источниками доходов аграрных товаропроизводителей.</p><p>Цель – комплексный анализ современных тенденций создания и использования зерновых ресурсов в республике, исследование экономических параметров производства и переработки зерновой продукции для обоснования перспектив регионального рынка хлебных злаков и уровня продовольственной безопасности. </p><p>Методы – экономико-статистический, системный и сравнения для систематизации данных по объемам выращивания и обработки зерновых культур в разные периоды и по регионам. Логический принцип при интерпретации полученных итогов деятельности.</p><p>Результаты - показано, что зерновой сектор страны сохраняет стратегическое значение для национальной экономики и продовольственной безопасности. Выявлена стабильная динамика роста валового сбора урожая при значительной зависимости от климатических условий. Установлено, что реализация зернопродуктов характеризуется преобладанием экспортной направленности, при этом внутреннее потребление демонстрирует умеренное увеличение. Определены ключевые проблемы отрасли, включая колебания урожайности, недостаточную степень технологического обновления, логистические ограничения и ценовую волатильность в мировой зерновой торговой сети.</p><p>Выводы - для устойчивого развития зернового хозяйства Казахстана необходимы диверсификация производственного процесса, внедрение инновационных агротехнологий, совершенствование инфраструктуры хранения и транспортировки зернового сырья, эффективные механизмы государственного регулирования и страхования рисков, что позволит обеспечить стабильную ситуацию на рынке зерна и возможности удовлетворять внутренний спрос и поддерживать экспортный потенциал. </p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The Republic of Kazakhstan, possessing favorable natural and other potential resources, has established itself as a major grain producer. Its grain is distinguished by high food and feed quality, as well as its ability to retain quality during storage, thereby contributing to the formation of emergency and reserve stocks, serving as a raw material base for the processing industry, and providing a source of income for agricultural producers.</p><p>The objective – is to conduct a comprehensive analysis of current trends in the formation and utilization of grain resources in the republic, to examine the economic parameters of grain production and processing in order to substantiate the prospects of the regional grain market and the level of food security.</p><p>Methods – economicstatistical, systems analysis, and comparative methods were employed to systematize data on the production and processing volumes of grain crops across different periods and regions. A logical approach was applied in interpreting the results obtained.</p><p>Results – the study demonstrates that the country's grain sector continues to hold strategic importance for the national economy and food security. A stable upward trend in gross grain harvests was identified, although with signifycant dependence on climatic conditions. It was established that grain product sales are predominantly export-oriented, while domestic consumption has shown moderate growth. The key challenges facing the sector were identified, including fluctuations in crop yields, an insufficient level of technological modernization, logistical constraints, and price volatility in the global grain trade.</p><p>Conclusions – the sustainable development of Kazakhstan’s grain sector requires the diversification of production processes, the introduction of innovative agricultural technologies, the improvement of grain storage and transportation infrastructure, and the implementation of effective mechanisms for government regulation and risk insurance. These measures will help ensure stability in the grain market, satisfy domestic demand, and maintain the country’s export potential. </p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>аграрный сектор</kwd><kwd>зерновая отрасль</kwd><kwd>сельхозтоваропроизводители</kwd><kwd>производство</kwd><kwd>рынок</kwd><kwd>экспорт</kwd><kwd>государственная поддержка</kwd><kwd>диверсификация</kwd><kwd>совершенная инфраструктура</kwd><kwd>техническая оснащенность</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>agrarian sector</kwd><kwd>grain industry</kwd><kwd>agricultural producers</kwd><kwd>production</kwd><kwd>market</kwd><kwd>export</kwd><kwd>state support</kwd><kwd>diversification</kwd><kwd>advanced infrastructure</kwd><kwd>technical equipment</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Avileis, F. G., Mallory, M. L. The impact of Brazil on global grain dynamics: a study on cross-market volatility spillovers [Electronic resource].– 2021. – Available at: https://www.arxiv.org/abs/2104.12706 (date of access: 18.03.2026).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Avileis, F.G. &amp; Mallory, M.L. (2021). The impact of Brazil on global grain dynamics: a study on cross-market volatility spillovers. Available at: https://www.arxiv.org/abs/2104.12706 (date of access: 18.03.2026) [in English].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Джумабаева, А.М. Зерновое хозяйство Республики Казахстан: тенденции и механизмы совершенствования / А.М. Джумабаева, Г.К. Ордабаева, С.Ж.Косубекова //Проблемы агрорынка. – 2024. - № 4. – С.112-122.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Dzhumabaeva, A.M., Ordabaeva, G.K. &amp; Kosubekova, S.Zh. (2024). Zernovoe hozjajstvo Respubliki Kazahstan: tendencii i mehanizmy sovershenstvovanija [Grain farming of the Republic of Kazakhstan: trends and mechanisms for improvement]. Problemy agrorynka - Problems of AgriMarket, 4, 112-122 [in Russian].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit3"><label>3</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Erenstein,O. Global maize production, consumption and trade: trends and R&amp;D implications/ O. Erenstein, M. Jaleta, K. Sonder, K. Mottaleb, B.M. Prasanna // Food Security. – 2022. – Vol. 14.- N 5. – P. 1295–1319. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-022-01288-7</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Erenstein, O., Jaleta, M., Sonder, K., Mottaleb, K. &amp; Prasanna, B.M. (2022). Global maize production, consumption and trade: trends and R&amp;D implications. Food Security, 14 (5), 1295–1319. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-02201288-7 [in English].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit4"><label>4</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Lemenkova, P. Dynamics of global harvest and production of cereals: exploring trends for 30-year period / P. Lemenkova // Poljoprivredna tehnika. – 2025. – Vol. 50.- N 4. – P. 1–14. https://doi.org/10.5937/POLJTEH2504001L</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Lemenkova, P. (2025). Dynamics of global harvest and production of cereals: exploring trends for 30-year period. Poljoprivredna tehnika, 50 (4), 1–14. https://doi.org/10.5937/POLJTEH2504001L [in English].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit5"><label>5</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Fan, J. Crop yield prediction using deep learning and remote sensing data: A review and meta-analysis / J. Fan, J. Wang, H. Li, X. Zhang // Computers and Electronics in Agriculture. - 2022. - Vol. 198. - Article 106936. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2022.106936.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Fan, J., Wang, J., Li, H. &amp; Zhang, X. (2022). Crop yield prediction using deep learning and remote sensing data: A review and metaanalysis. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, 198, 106936. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2022.106936 [in English].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit6"><label>6</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Рудой, Е.В. Научно-технологическое развитие зернового производства России: комплексная оценка, проблемы и пути решения / Е.В.Рудой, М.С.Петухова //АПК: Экономика, управление. – 2021. - №6. – С.71-79.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Rudoy, E.V. &amp; Petukhova, M.S. (2021). Nauchno-tehnologicheskoe razvitie zernovogo proizvodstva Rossii: kompleksnaja ocenka, problemy i puti reshenija [Scientific and technological development of grain production in Russia: comprehensive assessment, problems and solutions]. APK: Ekonomika, upravlenie - AIC: Economics, Management, 6, 71-79 [in Russian].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit7"><label>7</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Irmulatov, B.R. Prospects for precision management of wheat productivity in the conditions of Northern Kazakhstan / B.R. Irmulatov, K.K. Abdullaev, A.A. Komarov, V.V. Yakushev// Agricultural Biology.-2021.-Vol. 56.-№ 1.-P.92-102.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Irmulatov, B.R., Abdullaev, K.K., Komarov, A.A. &amp; Yakushev, V.V. (2021). Prospects for precision management of wheat productivity in the conditions of Northern Kazakhstan. Agricultural Biology, 56 (1), 92–102 [in English].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit8"><label>8</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Mishra, A.K. Adoption of agricultural technologies and cereal productivity/A.K.Mishra, S.Khanal // Food Policy.- 2020.– Vol. 94. – Article 101842. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2020. 101842</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Mishra, A.K. &amp; Khanal, S. (2020). Adoption of agricultural technologies and cereal productivity. Food Policy, 94, 101842. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2020.101842 [in English].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit9"><label>9</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">OECD–FAO Agricultural Outlook 2025– 2034 [Electronic resource].- 2025. - Available at: https://www.agri-outlook.org/ (date of access: 18.03.2026).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">OECD–FAO Agricultural Outlook 2025– 2034 (2025). Available at: https://www.agri-outlook.org/ (date of access: 18.03.2026) [in English].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit10"><label>10</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Yakovenko, N.A. Formation and usage trends of grain resources: Experience of foreign countries and Russia / N.A. Yakovenko, I.S. Ivanenko // Scientific Research and Development. Economics.- 2020.- Vol. 8.- № 5.- P. 46-51. https://doi.org/10.12737/2587-9111-2020-46-51</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Yakovenko, N.A. &amp; Ivanenko, I.S. (2020). Formation and usage trends of grain resources: Experience of foreign countries and Russia. Scientific Research and Development. Economics, 8 (5), 46–51. https://doi.org/10.12737/2587-9111-2020-46-51 [in English].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit11"><label>11</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">«Kazinform» Қазақстандық халықаралық ақпарат агенттігі. Қазақстандағы тұқым шаруашылығы: жағдайы және даму перспективалары [Электрондық ресурс].-2024.– URL: https://www.inform.kz (қаралған күні: 18.03.2026).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">«Kazinform» Qazaqstandyq halyqaralyq aqparat agenttıgı. Qazaqstandağy tūqym şaruaşylyğy: jağdaiy jäne damu perspektivalary [Seed farming in Kazakhstan: state and development prospects] (2024). Available at: https://www.inform.kz (date of access: 18.03.2026) [in Kazakh].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit12"><label>12</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Анализ мирового и регионального рынка зерна в 2024/2025 году и перспективы на следующий сезон [Электронный ресурс]. – 2024. – URL: https://www.agrosearch.kz/news/analiz--mirovogo-i--regionalnogo-rynka-zerna-v20242025--godu-i--perspektivy-na-sleduyushhiisezon (дата обращения: 18.03.2026).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Analiz mirovogo i regional'nogo rynka zerna v 2024/2025 godu i perspektivy na sledujushhij sezon [Analysis of the global and regional grain market in 2024/2025 and prospects for the next season] (2024). Available at: https://www.agrosearch.kz/news/analiz-mirovogo-i-regionalnogo--rynka-zerna-v--20242025-godu-i-perspektivy-na-sleduyushhii-sezon (date of access: 18.03.2026) [in Russian].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit13"><label>13</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Сельскохозяйственный прогноз ОЭСР- ФАО на 2025-2034 годы (OECD–FAO Agricultural Outlook 2025-2034) [Электронный ресурс]. – 2025.– URL: https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2025-2034_601276cd-en.html (дата обращения: 18.03.2026).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Sel'skohozjajstvennyj prognoz OJeSR– FAO na 2025–2034 gody  [OECD–FAO Agricultural Outlook 2025–2034] (2025). Available at: https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/oecd-faoagricultural--outlook--2025-2034_601276cd-en.html (date of access: 18.03.2026) [in Russian].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit14"><label>14</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Қазақстан Республикасы Стратегиялық жоспарлау және реформалар агенттігінің Ұлттық статистика бюросы [Электрондық ресурс].-2025.- URL: https://www.stat.gov.kz/ru/ (қаралған күні: 18.03.2026).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Qazaqstan Respublikasy Strategialyq josparlau jäne reformalar agenttıgınıñ Ūlttyq statıstika bürosy [Bureau of National Statistics of the Agency for Strategic Planning and Reforms of the Republic of Kazakhstan] (2025). Available at: https://www.stat.gov.kz/ru/ (date of access: 18.03.2026) [in Kazakh].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit15"><label>15</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Дуйсенбекова, А.А. Роль зернового рынка в обеспечении продовольственной безопасности Республики Казахстан /А.А.Дуйсенбекова, А.А. Danilowska, M. Hamulczuk //Проблемы агрорынка. – 2025. - № 3. – С.158-168. https://doi.org/10.46666/2025-3.2708-9991.14.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Duisenbekova, A.A., Danilowska, A.A. &amp; Hamulczuk, M. (2025). Rol' zernovogo rynka                v obespechenii prodovol'stvennoj bezopasnosti Respubliki Kazahstan [The role of the grain market in ensuring food security of the Republic of Kazakhstan]. Problemy agrorynka - Problems of AgriMarket, 3, 158-168. https://doi.org/10.46666/2025-3.2708-9991.14 [in Russian].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref></ref-list><fn-group><fn fn-type="conflict"><p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p></fn></fn-group></back></article>
