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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">agroprob</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Проблемы агрорынка</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Problems of AgriMarket</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1817-728X</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2708-9991</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Казахский научно-исследовательский институт экономики агропромышленного комплекса и развития села</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">agroprob-1353</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Статьи</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title></article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>ASSESSMENT OF THE IMPACT OF CHANGES IN PRODUCTION CONDITIONS ON WHEAT YIELD CAPACITY LEVEL</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kurmanov</surname><given-names>N. .</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Baygabulova</surname><given-names>K. .</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Karbetova</surname><given-names>SH. .</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="en">Kazakh University of Economics, Finance and International Trade<country>Kazakhstan</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="en">L.N. Gumilyov Eurasian National University<country>Kazakhstan</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-3"><aff xml:lang="en">Caspian University<country>Kazakhstan</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2017</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>14</day><month>03</month><year>2023</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>2</issue><fpage>81</fpage><lpage>86</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Kurmanov N..., Baygabulova K..., Karbetova S..., 2023</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2023</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Kurmanov N..., Baygabulova K..., Karbetova S...</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Kurmanov N..., Baygabulova K..., Karbetova S...</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.jpra-kazniiapk.kz/jour/article/view/1353">https://www.jpra-kazniiapk.kz/jour/article/view/1353</self-uri><abstract><p>Необходимость удовлетворения населения качественными продуктами питания отводит пшенице важное место в обеспечении продовольственной безопасности страны. Для поиска альтернативных путей повышения ее доходности требуется исследование влияния различных факторов на повышение урожайности как одного из основных результативных показателей развития растениеводства на основе установления количественной взаимосвязи. В статье проведены расчеты по оценке связи производственных, в том числе гидротермических показателей, и урожайности зерновых с целью оценки и отбора наиболее важных факторов для включения в эконометрическую модель, при этом обнаружены существенные различия корреляционной зависимости между урожайностью зерновых и гидротермическими показателями в периоды до и после 90-х годов, в связи с изменениями экономических и климатических условий, используемых технологий производства.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Due to the need to satisfy the population with high-quality foodstuffs, wheat is the important crop in ensuring the country's food security. In order to find alternative ways to increase its profitability, it is necessary to study the influence of various factors on yield capacity as one of the main productive indicators of crop production development on the basis of establishing a quantitative interaction. The article includes calculations which have been done to evaluate the interaction between production, including hydrothermal indices and grain yields aimed to evaluate and select the most important factors for inclusion into the econometric model, and significant differences have been found in the correlation between grain yields and hydrothermal indicators in the periods before and after 90-ies which resulted from the changes in economic and climatic conditions, used production technologies.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>food security</kwd><kwd>farming system</kwd><kwd>agricultural machinery</kwd><kwd>technology</kwd><kwd>labor productivity</kwd><kwd>yield capacity</kwd><kwd>grain</kwd><kwd>natural and climatic conditions. Түйінді сөздер : азық-түлік қауіпсіздігі</kwd><kwd>егіншілік жүйесі</kwd><kwd>ауылшаруашылық техника</kwd><kwd>технологиялар</kwd><kwd>еңбек өнімділігі</kwd><kwd>өнімділік</kwd><kwd>дақылдар</kwd><kwd>табиғи-климаттық жағдайлар. Ключевые слова: продовольственная безопасность</kwd><kwd>система земледелия</kwd><kwd>сельскохозяйственная техника</kwd><kwd>технологии</kwd><kwd>производительность труда</kwd><kwd>урожайность</kwd><kwd>зерновые</kwd><kwd>природно-климатические условия</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Народное хозяйство Казахстана за 70 лет: стат.сб./ ред. Абдрахманова М.К. - Алма-Ата: Казахстан, 1990. - 392 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Народное хозяйство Казахстана за 70 лет: стат.сб./ ред. Абдрахманова М.К. - Алма-Ата: Казахстан, 1990. - 392 с.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Nagy, J.G. and J.H. Sanders. 1990. Agricultural technology development and dissemination within a farming systems perspective. 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